Library / Diffusion / Percolation / Tipping Points
Percolation / Tipping Points
Sparse links suddenly gel into a giant component — bank networks and blackouts tip fast.
INTERACTIVE LAB
Tolerance sandbox (original recreation)
happy 76% • avg. similar neighbors 49% • red ring = wants to move
DIFFUSION
When to use / misuse
Use → Fragility audits, buffers, circuit breakers.
Difficulty → Advanced
REDCAPE → Explain · Predict
agent: percolation-checker family: Diffusion combine_with: [two other families] rule: state failure mode before acting
Free sources: Coursera M4 (Tipping Points) • SFI Nonlinear Dynamics
Attach to a lattice — combines with
Different families, shared jobs. Click to open alongside.
GROWTH
Exponential & Solow Growth
Compounding plus capital, labor and ideas explain why some economies stall.
SHARED JOBS: EXPLAIN · PREDICT
NETWORKSGranovetter Threshold
Each person has a riot threshold; cascades depend on the distribution, not the average.
SHARED JOBS: EXPLAIN · PREDICT
DISTRIBUTIONSPower Law / Long Tail
Rich-get-richer: a few huge winners, many tiny players. Straight line on log-log.
SHARED JOBS: EXPLAIN · PREDICT
More in Diffusion
SIR Contagion
Susceptible–Infected–Recovered with an R0 tipping point. Same math for flu and pop-star fever.
Bass Diffusion (S-Curve)
Innovators plus imitators make the S-curve. Spend early on seeds, later on social proof.
Cellular Automata & Game of Life
Tiny local rules aggregate into gliders, blinkers and chaos. Emergence needs no boss.